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A necessária contenção dos mercados preditivos no Brasil
Filipe Senna, sócio da Jantalia Advogados e secretário-geral da Comissão de Direito dos Jogos e Apostas da OAB/DF, analisa a recente decisão no Brasil de bloquear plataformas de mercado preditivo como Kalshi e Polymarket.
Ele argumenta que a medida reflete um passo regulatório necessário para sanar ambiguidades legais em um segmento que se situa entre ferramentas informativas, sistemas de apostas e derivativos financeiros, reforçando a necessidade de coerência e tratamento igualitário nos mercados regulamentados em constante evolução do Brasil.
Por Filipe Senna
O bloqueio de plataformas de mercado preditivo como Kalshi e Polymarket no Brasil, a partir de medida do Conselho Monetário Nacional (CMN) e de orientação da Secretaria de Prêmios e Apostas (SPA), é juridicamente consistente e segue a mesma lógica já aplicada a operadores de apostas ilegais.
A decisão não nasce de um impulso restritivo, mas da necessidade de preservar a coerência de um mercado que passou a ser regulado de forma mais clara nos últimos anos.
Embora essas plataformas se apresentem como instrumentos de leitura da opinião pública, sua atuação prática vai além do caráter informacional.
Parte relevante dos produtos ofertados se aproxima, e em alguns casos se equipara, às apostas de quota fixa reguladas pela Lei nº 14.790/2023. Eventos esportivos disponibilizados nesses ambientes replicam dinâmicas semelhantes às chamadas bolsas de apostas, o que torna difícil sustentar uma distinção material entre um modelo e outro.
Há ainda um segundo ponto sensível. Algumas dessas plataformas oferecem instrumentos que se assemelham a derivativos financeiros, com ativos vinculados a preços de mercado.
Por operarem fora do país, não se submetem às exigências da Comissão de Valores Mobiliários. O resultado é uma assimetria regulatória relevante, na qual empresas estrangeiras competem em condições mais favoráveis do que operadores que seguem as regras brasileiras.
Nesse cenário, o bloqueio cumpre uma função de proteção institucional, ele resguarda tanto o mercado de apostas quanto o mercado financeiro de distorções concorrenciais.
Empresas que atuam no Brasil com autorização precisam cumprir obrigações rigorosas, que incluem recolhimento de tributos, políticas de prevenção à lavagem de dinheiro e mecanismos de proteção de dados.
Permitir que outras operem à margem dessas exigências compromete a isonomia do sistema.
A medida também tem caráter indutor. Caso essas plataformas desejem atuar no país, deverão se adequar ao enquadramento jurídico correspondente ao tipo de produto que oferecem.
Se a atividade se assemelha a apostas, deve seguir a regulação das bets. Se se aproxima de instrumentos financeiros, deve observar as regras aplicáveis a esse mercado. Trata-se de um princípio básico de organização econômica em setores regulados.
Não há violação à livre iniciativa. No ordenamento brasileiro, a liberdade econômica convive com a necessidade de cumprimento de regras, especialmente em atividades que envolvem risco financeiro e impacto social.
A atuação estatal, nesse contexto, busca garantir que a concorrência ocorra em bases legítimas, sem favorecimento indevido a quem opera fora da jurisdição nacional.
Existe, de fato, um componente informacional nesses ambientes. Mercados preditivos podem oferecer sinais úteis sobre expectativas coletivas.
O problema surge quando esse elemento convive com estruturas que reproduzem a lógica de apostas ou de produtos financeiros de alto risco.
Nesses casos, o usuário deixa de interagir apenas com informação e passa a assumir riscos típicos de jogos de azar ou de operações especulativas.
Um exemplo ajuda a ilustrar essa fronteira. Há mercados em que o participante precisa prever, em intervalos de 5 (cinco) minutos, a variação de ativos como o Bitcoin.
A dinâmica, embora apresentada como preditiva, se aproxima mais de jogos de azar ou de mecanismos semelhantes às antigas opções binárias, cuja natureza sempre esteve associada ao risco elevado e à ausência de proteção adequada ao usuário.
Diante dessa zona cinzenta, a postura adotada pelo regulador é prudente. Interromper a atividade permite aprofundar o debate, definir critérios mais claros e evitar que lacunas normativas sejam exploradas.
Só a partir dessa delimitação será possível discutir, com segurança jurídica, eventual regulamentação futura para esse tipo de plataforma.
O objetivo final é preservar um ambiente econômico equilibrado, em que inovação e livre iniciativa possam coexistir com regras claras. Sem isso, o risco não é apenas jurídico, mas também de credibilidade de todo o sistema.
Filipe Senna
Sócio do Jantalia Advogados e Secretário-Geral da Comissão de Direito dos Jogos e Apostas da OAB/DF. Autor do livro ‘A Regulação da Sorte na Internet’
The post A necessária contenção dos mercados preditivos no Brasil appeared first on Americas iGaming & Sports Betting News.
1spin4win, an established classic online slot provider, closes the first half of the year by revealing key performance results and the most significant milestones.
The first six months of 2026 have marked a period of strong growth for the studio. Compared to H1 2025, 1spin4win recorded a 47% increase in GGR, while bet count rose by 46.66%.
The provider also saw a significant increase in player activity. In H1 2026, player count surged by 59.06%, and new player count jumped by 50.15% compared to the first half of last year. These numbers reflect 1spin4win’s ability to keep global audiences engaged through new mechanics, regular game releases, and simple gameplay.
Partner growth has also been an important part of this success. Today, 1spin4win works with over 1,000 recognized iGaming brands, including STAKE.MX, 1win, LevelUP, BitStarz, gg.bet, WinSpirit, mBit, Pin-Up, 1xBet, PlayAmo, to name a few. This broad network reinforces the company’s reputation as a trusted provider across international markets.
The latest results also highlighted the success of 1spin4win’s expansion strategy across Latin America and Africa. Both markets remain important directions for the studio, where its mobile-first, easy-to-follow slots resonate perfectly well with local preferences. In H1 2026, compared to H2 2025, the provider’s GGR increased by 45.45% in Africa and 27.68% in LatAm.
This momentum has also been recognized by the wider professional industry. During iGB L!VE, 1spin4win was named Slot Studio of the Year at the inaugural iGaming News Awards, highlighting the studio’s strong slot offering and continued growth.
Olga Hlukhovskaya, Business Development Director at 1spin4win, shared, “We are proud of the results achieved. For us, these numbers are not only about our own success — they show that our games continue to bring value to operators by keeping their audiences active and engaged across different markets. Moving forward, we will continue strengthening this value through regional development, tailored partner support, and high-performing content that stays true to what players enjoy about classic slots.”
About 1spin4win
1spin4win is a fast-growing game provider founded in May 2021 by ambitious developers with over 20 years of experience in the gambling industry. Since its inception, the company has expanded its portfolio to include over 200 classic online slots, all characterized by quality mathematics, transparent mechanics, and well-balanced gameplay — key factors that drive strong player retention. The studio aims to release an average of four new games each month in 2026 and offers effective promotional tools for casino operators to help them enhance player loyalty.
The post 1spin4win achieves strong H1 2026 growth with GGR up 47% year over year appeared first on EE Gaming | Global iGaming & Tech Intelligence Hub.
1spin4win, an established classic online slot provider, closes the first half of the year by revealing key performance results and the most significant milestones.
The first six months of 2026 have marked a period of strong growth for the studio. Compared to H1 2025, 1spin4win recorded a 47% increase in GGR, while bet count rose by 46.66%.
The provider also saw a significant increase in player activity. In H1 2026, player count surged by 59.06%, and new player count jumped by 50.15% compared to the first half of last year. These numbers reflect 1spin4win’s ability to keep global audiences engaged through new mechanics, regular game releases, and simple gameplay.
Partner growth has also been an important part of this success. Today, 1spin4win works with over 1,000 recognized iGaming brands, including STAKE.MX, 1win, LevelUP, BitStarz, gg.bet, WinSpirit, mBit, Pin-Up, 1xBet, PlayAmo, to name a few. This broad network reinforces the company’s reputation as a trusted provider across international markets.
The latest results also highlighted the success of 1spin4win’s expansion strategy across Latin America and Africa. Both markets remain important directions for the studio, where its mobile-first, easy-to-follow slots resonate perfectly well with local preferences. In H1 2026, compared to H2 2025, the provider’s GGR increased by 45.45% in Africa and 27.68% in LatAm.
This momentum has also been recognized by the wider professional industry. During iGB L!VE, 1spin4win was named Slot Studio of the Year at the inaugural iGaming News Awards, highlighting the studio’s strong slot offering and continued growth.
Olga Hlukhovskaya, Business Development Director at 1spin4win, shared, “We are proud of the results achieved. For us, these numbers are not only about our own success — they show that our games continue to bring value to operators by keeping their audiences active and engaged across different markets. Moving forward, we will continue strengthening this value through regional development, tailored partner support, and high-performing content that stays true to what players enjoy about classic slots.”
About 1spin4win
1spin4win is a fast-growing game provider founded in May 2021 by ambitious developers with over 20 years of experience in the gambling industry. Since its inception, the company has expanded its portfolio to include over 200 classic online slots, all characterized by quality mathematics, transparent mechanics, and well-balanced gameplay — key factors that drive strong player retention. The studio aims to release an average of four new games each month in 2026 and offers effective promotional tools for casino operators to help them enhance player loyalty.
The post 1spin4win achieves strong H1 2026 growth with GGR up 47% year over year appeared first on Americas iGaming & Sports Betting News.
1spin4win, an established classic online slot provider, closes the first half of the year by revealing key performance results and the most significant milestones.
The first six months of 2026 have marked a period of strong growth for the studio. Compared to H1 2025, 1spin4win recorded a 47% increase in GGR, while bet count rose by 46.66%.
The provider also saw a significant increase in player activity. In H1 2026, player count surged by 59.06%, and new player count jumped by 50.15% compared to the first half of last year. These numbers reflect 1spin4win’s ability to keep global audiences engaged through new mechanics, regular game releases, and simple gameplay.
Partner growth has also been an important part of this success. Today, 1spin4win works with over 1,000 recognized iGaming brands, including STAKE.MX, 1win, LevelUP, BitStarz, gg.bet, WinSpirit, mBit, Pin-Up, 1xBet, PlayAmo, to name a few. This broad network reinforces the company’s reputation as a trusted provider across international markets.
The latest results also highlighted the success of 1spin4win’s expansion strategy across Latin America and Africa. Both markets remain important directions for the studio, where its mobile-first, easy-to-follow slots resonate perfectly well with local preferences. In H1 2026, compared to H2 2025, the provider’s GGR increased by 45.45% in Africa and 27.68% in LatAm.
This momentum has also been recognized by the wider professional industry. During iGB L!VE, 1spin4win was named Slot Studio of the Year at the inaugural iGaming News Awards, highlighting the studio’s strong slot offering and continued growth.
Olga Hlukhovskaya, Business Development Director at 1spin4win, shared, “We are proud of the results achieved. For us, these numbers are not only about our own success — they show that our games continue to bring value to operators by keeping their audiences active and engaged across different markets. Moving forward, we will continue strengthening this value through regional development, tailored partner support, and high-performing content that stays true to what players enjoy about classic slots.”
About 1spin4win
1spin4win is a fast-growing game provider founded in May 2021 by ambitious developers with over 20 years of experience in the gambling industry. Since its inception, the company has expanded its portfolio to include over 200 classic online slots, all characterized by quality mathematics, transparent mechanics, and well-balanced gameplay — key factors that drive strong player retention. The studio aims to release an average of four new games each month in 2026 and offers effective promotional tools for casino operators to help them enhance player loyalty.
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