Brazil
Fernando Carvalho outlines new era for prediction markets in Brazil with VoxFi white label technology
The global expansion of prediction markets is beginning to reshape how users interact with information, probability, and digital engagement.
Positioned at the intersection of finance, technology, and behavioral data, these platforms are gaining traction as a structured way to transform collective intelligence into measurable forecasts about future events.
In Brazil, this emerging segment is still in its early stages, but the combination of a highly engaged digital audience, recent regulatory evolution in adjacent sectors such as fintech and crypto, and the constant search for new engagement models within iGaming creates a fertile environment for growth.
It is within this context that VoxFi is positioning itself as one of the first structured players in the local ecosystem.
Last week, during BiS SiGMA South America 2026 in São Paulo, the company officially presented its white-label solution, designed to allow third-party businesses to integrate prediction markets directly into their own websites and applications.
VoxFi also took part in the panel “Forecasting or Gambling? The Fine Line Between Prediction Markets and Bets,” where CEO and co-founder Fernando Carvalho discussed the boundaries between emerging prediction models and traditional betting structures.
In addition, the company was selected as one of the six finalists in the event’s Startup Pitch Competition, reinforcing its positioning as an innovative player in the space.
The company, a Brazilian platform focused on event-based prediction contracts, has introduced a white-label solution that allows third-party companies to integrate prediction markets directly into their own digital environments.
Through API connectivity, businesses across sectors, from media and entertainment to telecom, can offer customized prediction experiences under their own branding, leveraging VoxFi’s infrastructure, compliance framework, and liquidity mechanisms.
Unlike traditional betting models, VoxFi operates on a peer-to-peer logic, where users trade binary contracts (“yes” or “no”) based on future outcomes.
The pricing of these contracts reflects perceived probabilities, creating a dynamic environment that resembles financial markets more than conventional gambling structures.
All markets undergo internal curation and validation, with clearly defined resolution criteria, compliance standards, and monitoring systems.
The platform also incorporates financial-market practices such as mandatory KYC, transaction monitoring, and event-based account segregation, reinforcing its positioning as a structured and responsible ecosystem.
Founded by Fernando Carvalho, known for his role in advancing the crypto asset market in Brazil through QR Capital, and Luis Felipe Carvalho, a fintech entrepreneur behind NG.CASH, VoxFi combines experience in financial innovation with a product designed for scalability and regulatory alignment.
In this exclusive interview, CEO Fernando Carvalho explains the rationale behind entering a still-misunderstood segment, the strategic positioning of VoxFi, and what lies ahead for prediction markets in Brazil.
The prediction market is still not widely understood in Brazil. What led you to invest in this sector?
Fernando Carvalho – We chose to build VoxFi because prediction markets are one of the most efficient ways to transform dispersed information into probabilities about the future.
They aggregate collective knowledge in a structured and transparent way. We observed important regulatory developments in the United States between 2024 and 2025, which indicated that this model would begin to scale globally.
We saw a scenario similar to the early days of the crypto market: a new sector that requires education, strong governance, and gradual development to reach scale.
Where is the line between prediction markets and betting?
The difference is structural. In prediction markets, users trade with each other through an order book, and prices reflect perceived probabilities.
In traditional betting, there is a house that sets the odds and assumes the risk. Here, there is no “house” — there is a market.
VoxFi enters with a B2B approach. What opportunity did you identify?
iGaming is undergoing a transformation in Brazil, and operators are looking for new ways to engage users.
Our solution allows prediction markets to be integrated as an additional content layer via API, while partners maintain their own brand identity.
Do you compete with betting operators?
No. We complement the ecosystem. We deliberately avoid sports-related topics to prevent direct competition and instead expand the range of available content.
Is Brazil behind in this segment?
No. It is in an early stage, but with ideal characteristics: a highly engaged digital audience and increasing familiarity with more sophisticated financial instruments.
How does your revenue model work?
It is similar to trading platforms: we charge fees on transactions or on contract settlement. In the B2B model, we also generate revenue through setup fees and revenue-sharing agreements. It is a highly scalable model.
Who are the main players interested in this today?
There are three main groups: iGaming operators, media and entertainment companies, and digital platforms with large audiences.
How do you build liquidity in a new market?
Initially, through an internal market maker to ensure efficient trading conditions. At the same time, we are developing infrastructure to integrate external market makers as the ecosystem grows.
Why avoid topics like sports and elections?
This is a strategic decision to align with current regulations and avoid conflicts with authorities such as CVM, SPA, and TSE.
Is Brazil close to regulating prediction markets?
The discussion is just beginning to gain traction. The main risk is being incorrectly classified as either traditional betting or financial drivatives.
What defines success in the next six months?
Growth in user base, trading volume, and the activation of white-label integrations with strategic partners.
Looking ahead, will this be a complement to iGaming or a standalone category?
In the short term, we see prediction markets as a natural complement to iGaming, adding new layers of content and engagement. In the long term, we believe they can become a standalone digital category, a new layer of the internet focused on forecasting future events.
The post Fernando Carvalho outlines new era for prediction markets in Brazil with VoxFi white label technology appeared first on Americas iGaming & Sports Betting News.
Brazil
Why is Pix central to combating the illegal betting market?
Published in Poder360, this opinion article by Leo Baptista, founder of Pay4fun, explores why Pix has become one of the most strategic tools in combating Brazil’s illegal betting market and why financial tracking may be more effective than simply blocking websites.
There is currently a recurring question whenever we talk about the betting market in Brazil: why does the illegal sector continue to operate even after regulation?
The answer is simple and, at the same time, uncomfortable: because we still have not tackled the problem in the most effective way.
For a long time, efforts to combat illegal betting focused on blocking websites.
It is an important measure, but an insufficient one.
The dynamic is familiar: one domain is blocked today, another appears tomorrow with slight variations.
It is an almost endless task, often described by the industry itself as “a losing battle.”
If we truly want to be effective, we need to change the approach.
The path is different: follow the money, and this is precisely where Brazil has an enormous competitive advantage: Pix.
Today, Pix is the only payment method accepted in Brazil’s betting market.
For the first time, this gives authorities an instrument capable not only of tracking, but mainly interrupting, the financial flow that sustains these operations.
When you cut the payment flow, you cut the business itself.
This movement has already begun.
The Secretariat of Prizes and Betting (SPA) now has stronger enforcement tools against institutions operating illegally.
ines can reach extremely significant amounts. At the same time, the Central Bank has substantially increased requirements for payment institutions.
This second point is fundamental.
In recent years, Brazil witnessed a proliferation of smaller institutions, often with weak control structures.
With stricter requirements related to capital, compliance, and anti-money laundering measures, many of these operations have left the market.
In practice, this has already reduced space for illegal activity. But it is still not enough.
The irregular market continues to represent a significant share of the sector: illegal betting currently accounts for between 41% and 51% of Brazil’s betting market, according to research conducted by Instituto Locomotiva and LCA Consultoria Econômica.
In other words, we are talking about an enormous volume of resources that fail to generate taxes, jobs, and consumer protection, losses that could reach up to R$40 billion per year in tax revenue, according to the same industry estimates.
This leads to another important point: it makes little sense to discuss higher tax burdens or additional restrictions for companies operating within the regulated market while such a large portion continues operating outside the law.
If pressure increases on regulated operators, the effect is direct: operators, and often users themselves, are pushed toward the illegal market.
The most efficient path to increasing tax revenue is not raising taxes.
It is bringing illegal activity into the legal market. If that happens, the regulated sector could practically double in size, and tax collection would grow accordingly.
That is why the focus must be clear: enforcement.
Supervision of payment methods, providers, and operators on both sides of the market is essential.
There is no longer room for companies to remain “on the fence,” simultaneously serving both regulated and illegal operations.
Another area that needs advancement is regulatory integration.
The Central Bank and the Secretariat of Prizes and Betting must work increasingly closely together. Combating illegal activity depends directly on this coordination.
Brazil has built a solid regulatory model for betting in a relatively short period of time.
The market is functioning, generating revenue, jobs, and user protection. Now, the country is entering a new phase: consolidation.
At this stage, there should be no doubt about where efforts must be concentrated.
The fight against the illegal market will not happen on the surface by simply taking down websites. It will happen through financial flows. Pix gives us that possibility.
Perhaps it is the most powerful tool we currently have. The question is not whether it can help. The real question is how willing we are to use it effectively.
Leonardo Baptista
Leonardo is the CEO & co-founder of Pay4Fun, a Brazilian payment institution recognized for its technology, security, and anti-money laundering prevention in Brazil’s regulated betting market.
With more than 20 years of experience in the gaming and IT sectors, he created Brazil’s first online bingo platform in 2004. In 2022, he was named one of the 10 most inspiring CEOs by CIO Business Review.
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Almir Ribeiro
BetMGM Brazil hires veteran journalist to lead government relations
BetMGM Brasil has appointed Fernando Vieira de Mello, a journalist with more than 30 years of experience across media, journalism and entertainment, to strengthen its government relations strategy in the country.
The hire comes as Brazil’s regulated betting market enters a phase of consolidation and maturity.
Vieira de Mello is widely recognised in Brazil’s communications market for his career at Grupo Globo, TV Bandeirantes, Rádio Bandeirantes and TV Cultura, where he held roles as reporter, anchor, journalism director and institutional relations executive.
Most recently, he served as director of institutional relations for São Paulo at Grupo Globo, building dialogue with market segments and regulatory bodies across the Brazilian ecosystem.
“Fernando brings a rare combination of experience in communications, management, institutional relations and a deep understanding of Brazil’s media ecosystem,” said Almir Ribeiro, CEO of BetMGM Brasil.
“His arrival further strengthens our long-term vision for the country.”
Vieira de Mello pointed to the scale of the opportunity ahead.
“Few sectors in Brazil will go through such an intense process of transformation and reputation building over the coming years as online betting.
BetMGM enters this moment with very solid attributes: an operation backed by two global groups of enormous credibility, exclusive focus on regulated markets and a clear long-term vision for Brazil.”
The appointment reflects BetMGM’s broader effort to deepen engagement with strategic stakeholders and advance its governance, responsibility and sustainable market-building agenda in Brazil.
BetMGM Brasil
Launched in January 2025, BetMGM Brasil is a joint venture between MGM Resorts International and Grupo Globo. Headquartered in São Paulo, the company was among the first 14 operators to receive definitive authorisation to operate in Brazil’s regulated betting market.
Beyond Brazil, BetMGM offers online gaming and betting platforms in 29 regulated US states and across Europe.
The post BetMGM Brazil hires veteran journalist to lead government relations appeared first on Americas iGaming & Sports Betting News.
2026 FIFA World Cup
Esportes da Sorte launches “Convoque” campaign for the World Cup
The brand transforms its iconic blue hat into a narrative asset, bringing together creators, music and football in a multiplatform film ahead of the tournament
Esportes da Sorte has launched “Convoque,” a campaign designed to strengthen the brand’s connection to the World Cup through a language that blends entertainment, pop culture and football.
The campaign transforms the platform’s already recognisable blue hat into a central narrative element, using it as a “portal” between everyday life and a playful universe inspired by the brand experience.
The move marks a strategic effort by Esportes da Sorte to consolidate its presence in the sports betting space during the tournament while maintaining the entertainment identity that has defined its communications.
The lead film features the iconic blue hat alongside influencers and personalities from music, digital culture and sport, including Léo Santana, Jojo Todynho, Cerol, Duda Gutierrez, Marcelinho Carioca, Luizinho Freitas and Bruno Formiga.
The campaign
A sequel to the first film is set to launch at the end of May. In the narrative, an ordinary character leaves a street football match and finds the blue hat glowing on the ground.
When he puts it on, he is transported to a match “outside of reality,” in an environment that combines references from football, casino and digital culture.
The script uses humour, visual exaggeration and fantasy elements to build a brand journey connected to the world of gaming and responsible entertainment.
“The campaign reinforces our strategy for the World Cup: expanding the brand’s presence in the sports territory without losing the fun and entertainment DNA already recognised by our audience,” said Marcela Campos, vice president of Grupo Esportes Gaming Brasil, which owns the Esportes da Sorte, Onabet and Lottu brands.
“The blue hat moves beyond being a visual element and becomes a narrative asset that connects different universes of the brand experience.”
Created by agency Brenda and produced by Nocandy, the campaign takes a multiplatform approach, with distribution across TV, out-of-home, YouTube and social media, as well as activations planned throughout the tournament.
The strategy reflects the intensifying competition for attention among brands in the sector during the most significant sporting event in the global calendar.
The film closes with responsible gambling messaging, aligning the campaign with the group’s institutional positioning around user protection practices and responsible communication in the regulated market.
Esportes da Sorte
Esportes da Sorte is one of Brazil’s leading sports betting platforms, operating under a licence granted by the Ministry of Finance to Esportes Gaming Brasil, the group that also owns the Onabet and Lottu brands.
The company is certified as a Great Place to Work and generates around one thousand direct and indirect jobs. It holds strategic partnerships with institutions including ANJL, IBIA, Sportradar, EBAC and IAA. Beyond sports betting, the group sponsors clubs including Corinthians, Ceará, Ferroviária and Náutico, and supports cultural initiatives including the Galo da Madrugada and carnival celebrations across multiple Brazilian cities.
The post Esportes da Sorte launches “Convoque” campaign for the World Cup appeared first on Americas iGaming & Sports Betting News.
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